The coming year will be another challenging one for UK pensions professionals. There will be five key trends during 2010:
1) A continued trend towards closure of defined benefits schemes to future accrual.
Watson Wyatt predicted this trend would take off in 2009 and it did. “With a number of large schemes and household names making this change this year, many more are likely to follow in 2010,” according John Ball, head of defined benefits consulting.
2) Increasing interest in enhanced transfer value (ETV) exercises.
“We are now seeing a number of major companies seriously investigating this, spurred on by the substantial fall in corporate bond yields over the year, which can make such exercises more attractive,” said John Ball. “As we have seen with closure to future accrual, there could be a domino effect once a few household name companies undertake such an exercise.”
3) Higher contributions from scheme sponsors.
“The second half of this year will be the time when the bigger deficits caused by the financial crisis start making a dent in employers’ cash flows,” said John Ball. “This is a consequence of the time it takes for funding agreements relating to late 2008 and early 2009 valuations to be negotiated and implemented. The question is not whether contributions will rise but how much, how quickly and how uniformly.”
4) A more interventionist Pensions Regulator.
“We can expect the Regulator to become more interventionist in 2010, not least in respect to sponsor/trustee negotiations around funding plans,” said John Ball. “But quite how much bite will the Regulator have?”
5) Alternatives to pension savings.
Employers may start looking for alternative routes to help employees’ long-term savings ahead of the proposed restriction of higher-rate tax relief for pensions for those with income over £150,000 (and in some cases over £130,000) in 2011. “This may begin with higher-earners but employer-sponsored non-pensions savings vehicles may then become more widely available for other employees,” said John Ball.